Methodology: Precinct knowledge by demographic group was final up to date March 6, 2024 at 2:36 a.m. E.T. Decrease-income areas are precincts the place the median family earnings is within the backside 25 % in every state; higher-income areas are precincts the place the median family earnings is within the prime 25 %. Areas with fewer faculty graduates are precincts the place the share of school graduates falls inside the backside 25 % in every state. Areas with extra faculty graduates are precincts the place the share of school graduates falls inside the prime 25 % in every state. The classification of areas as city, rural or suburban is derived from analysis by Jed Kolko. Sturdy Biden areas are precincts the place President Biden obtained greater than 60 % of the two-party vote within the 2020 presidential election. Sturdy Trump areas are precincts the place former President Donald J. Trump obtained greater than 60 % of the two-party vote within the 2020 presidential election.
The evaluation of vote margin by demographic class relies solely on precincts which have accomplished reporting for all main vote varieties (e.g., absentee, early, Election Day). In North Carolina and Virginia, not all counties reported full knowledge on the precinct stage.
Precinct sources: Minnesota Secretary of State; North Carolina State Board of Elections; Oklahoma State Election Board; Virginia Division of Elections; L2; U.S. Census Bureau
Supply: Election outcomes and race calls are from The Related Press. The Instances publishes its personal estimates for every candidate’s share of the ultimate vote and the variety of remaining votes, primarily based on historic turnout knowledge and reporting from outcomes suppliers. These are solely estimates, they usually will not be knowledgeable by studies from election officers.
Produced by Leanne Abraham, Michael Andre, Camille Baker, Neil Berg, Michael Beswetherick, Matthew Bloch, Irineo Cabreros, Nate Cohn, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Leo Dominguez, Andrew Fischer, MartÃn González Gómez, Ok.Ok. Rebecca Lai, Jasmine C. Lee, Alex Lemonides, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Elena Shao, Charlie Sensible, Urvashi Uberoy, Isaac White, Ashley Wu and Christine Zhang. Extra reporting by Patrick Hays; manufacturing by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White.
Modifying by Wilson Andrews, Lindsey Rogers Cook dinner, William P. Davis, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski and Allison McCartney.